One of the keys to horse racing handicapping success is gleaming which races to handicap and which races to pass. With all the simulcasting that is done now, there is no reason to play marginally handicappable races honest because you want some action or feel you are missing an opportunity.
As many people rep as they secure life experience, picking your battles is half the fight. That being said, which races should you play and which races should you pass?
That depends on why you play the races. Do you do it for the challenge, or do you want to earn money? The bigger the field and the more shippers and distance switchers and surface switchers you add to a rush, the more variables there are to compare and weigh.
Therefore, if you were to initiate looking for easier races, I’d say limit the field size to no more than 7 horses. You may reflect that the more horses in a bustle the better the payoffs, and to a distinct degree that’s accurate, but you will also accumulate that with the addition of each horse, the pains factor increases exponentially. My personal experience has been that shorter fields are better for two reasons…
1. I consume less time per rush so I can handicap more races and possibly salvage that one astronomical bet.
2. The more horses there are the greater the chances of traffic problems, something that usually can be handicapped but can cause your spacious bet to fail.
sizable fields often secure horses getting boxed in or blocked or bumped. They may also collect swept out wide on the turn so they have to shroud a lot more ground. It honest isn’t worth it. Picking winners is hard enough.
Another dilemma that I mentioned above is how to compare horses who are changing conditions in some design. Turf to dirt, or dirt to all weather track, are a few problems. If you have a horse trying a surface for the first time it is an unknown. It may improve or decline or there may be no change in its performance, but without prior experience, you won’t be able to assert. Sire stats can abet, but aren’t that trustworthy. The more horses switching surfaces the bigger the pickle.
For each residence that a horse is encountering for the first time, you must set aside a interrogate imprint above the bustle. It is no different than betting on a maiden accelerate with first time starters. You are trying to estimate the value of an unknown quantity. It can’t be done.
Therefore, here is what I examine for in a hasten to develop it playable…
I like claiming races because you know what the owner is willing to risk the horse for. The claiming box is the expansive equalizer. Secondly, I don’t like betting two year olds or three year olds early in the year. They are unruffled changing and growing and therefore may go through a growth spurt or some other hormonal or physical change between races. Early in the year I like 4 year olds or older and later in the year will finally deem three year olds, but never two year olds.
I like a field size of 7 horses or less and of those seven horses, I don’t want more than one horse that is switching distance and or surface unless it has done so before and I can look how well it ran under those conditions. This may sound a minute rigid, but you will calm gather lots of races to bet on under these conditions and you will bag it considerable easier to handicap them. When handicapping horse races for money, don’t bite off more than you can chew and be realistic about your ability and the ability of the races to composed throw you a curve or two.